![]() This shows the first snow sneaking into the northern and central mountains by September 25th. The extended European model is already sniffing around for snow in the northern Rockies by mid-September. I still think we have a good chance of a recurring tropical feature that will bring enhanced precipitation before the end of October. El Nino developed earlier and stronger than I had expected this year. Not what I had hoped for the summer this year. It looks like Friday through next Thursday will be dry before moisture starts to work its way into the area after the 10th. In my last update, I said it looked like things would dry out starting on Thursday and I was not sure how long the drying would last. This afternoon and evening will be the last best chance at wetting rains until late next week. ![]() Areas north of Bayfield had a couple of good nights as well. Areas around Ignacio in SE La Plata County received the heaviest rainfall this cycle. Northern portions of the forecast area finally got some accumulation the other night. Thanks for following and supporting the site! Click here to donate If you prefer to donate with Venmo: Click here to submit a weather report or questionįor the most part, the rains have been minimal the last few days across the forecast area. I am looking forward to moving back to being cautiously optimistic. I hope the models are right about this, I have found myself in “believe it when I see it” mode for the last couple of weeks. Green is rain the darker the shade, the heavier the rain. Here are the maps in motion from now through next Thursday. The ensemble models show this surge lasting for quite some time. The models then show a surge of moisture coming into the area triggering widespread showers Saturday night, with more showers possible every afternoon through at least Thursday. On Saturday, the ridge will move east again as low-pressure builds in across Southern California. Tomorrow we may see the ridge move slightly east enough to trigger some scattered showers across the forecast area.įriday shower chances will decrease as the ridge meanders back west. Today there will be a slight chance of isolated showers, mainly across the higher elevations to the north. For the last couple of days, I have been following what looks to be a pattern change coming soon–slightly cooler and wetter. You should know by now when it comes to me posting an update, no news is no news, boring weather.
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